Mikolas ate innings but yielded homers, posting a high homer rate that contributed to team-wide run risk, despite durable workload.

Mikolas draws a challenging road assignment with a road xFIP of 4.96 and a high WHIP (1.64) on the highway. His vulnerability to long balls (2.6 HR/9 away) presents a run risk against Seattle’s lineup, while Seattle’s recent production could test Mikolas’ control and force higher-scoring innings early.

Mikolas is the Cardinals' matchup target for the Athletics, with a reduced wRC+ against righties over the last month. The article uses Mikolas as a benchmark to justify targeting A's bats, while acknowledging potential scoring volatility on a smaller slate.

Mikolas’ 5.17 ERA and rough stretch in his last seven starts paint a concerning portrait, creating a favorable setup for Pirates’ aggression and supporting Pittsburgh’s +110 ML line against STL.

Mikolas has faced a rough season, with multiple clusters of earned runs in recent starts. Against a Pirates lineup that’s found rhythm, his ability to limit damage will be tested, making his ER prop a high-variance but intriguing contrarian play for tournaments.